The Optimist
  • Home
  • About
    • Advertise
    • Policies
    • Staff Contacts
    • Jobs
  • News
  • Sports
  • Opinion
    • Columns
    • Editorials
  • Multimedia
    • Photo Galleries
    • Videos
  • Features
  • Print Edition
    • The Pessimist
    • Special Projects
  • Police Log
  • Classifieds
You are here: Home / Opinion / Reopening America: Antibody studies suggest a far less threatening enemy

Reopening America: Antibody studies suggest a far less threatening enemy

May 4, 2020 by Owen Simpson

The past couple months, the media has shined light on how dangerous COVID-19 can be, but it seems they have failed to mention the latest developments and simply preyed on the fear of Americans.

Looking back to March 3, WHO said the coronavirus death rate was 3.4%, around 34 times more lethal than that of the seasonal flu. With that given estimate, it was reasonable to close down stores, restaurants and take precautions necessary.

But as more data comes to light with the novel virus, it could be that the projected 3.4% death rate is greatly exaggerated.

A study conducted in early April at Santa Clara county concluded that a fatality rate for the county was around 0.1–0.2%, extremely similar to the seasonal flu. The fatality rate was far lower because of unconfirmed and asymptomatic cases.

However, it is important to not judge a virus’ fatality rate on just one study. That leads me to an antibody study conducted in New York.

“New York is reporting 15,500 COVID-19 deaths, and if 2.7 million people were infected, that would mean the death rate would be 0.5%,” New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo said April 23.

Additional testing found that 24.7% of people in New York City had tested positive for coronavirus antibodies, and one in seven people in the state had antibodies.

This study shows again that the fatality rate is much lower than that of the WHO. However, it concludes a virus five times as lethal as the flu.

So who exactly is at risk? It seems like we’ve been asking ourselves this for weeks on end. First it was the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions. Then it seemed like everyone was at-risk for a short period of time.

So here are the facts. According to the Virtual Pediatric Systems, 20 people under the age of 20 have died in the U.S. from coronavirus as of May 1. Across the U.S., more than 24,167 people aged 0-19 have tested positive for the new coronavirus, according to state health department data.

So let’s do the math. Excluding any unconfirmed cases, which there certainly are with asymptomatic cases, the death rate in the United States for people aged 0-19 is .0008%. They also estimate that over 478,000 children 0-17 have had coronavirus and either not been tested or had no symptoms. that would bring the death toll down to .00004%.

Let’s be clear, I’m not trying to undermine the threat of coronavirus to the public. I’m simply trying to explain that not everyone is equally at-risk.

According to the CDC, the death rate of the seasonal flu in 0-17 year olds is .1%. In other words, children are far more likely to die of flu than coronavirus.

So we’ve established that children’s chances of dying from coronavirus is practically zero, and antibody studies suggest a far lower death rate across the board.

COVID-19 is a disease that sickens some, proves fatal to others, mostly the elderly — and does nothing to the vast majority.

The data continues to show it’s time to lift these stay-at-home restrictions. The country came together in March to support the lives of every American, closing stores and restaurants. It was done so because the media portrayed it like a virus none of us had seen.

Now the image has become clearer. Antibody tests show an enemy, yes. But it shows a far less threatening enemy.

Before antibody tests, the WHO had the fatality rate at .4% or lower for those under 50. Even that number was exaggerated.

From someone who was originally concerned about the early numbers, it’s becoming more and more evident that this virus was greatly overhyped.

It’s time to reopen America.

Filed Under: Columns, Opinion

Other Opinion:

  • Letter from the editor: Learning to lead

  • Online classes are not as effective as they seem

  • Athletes today face pressure from every angle

About Owen Simpson

- Editor-in-Chief and Sports Director
- ESPN Analyst for ESPN football and basketball

I'm a senior journalism major from Georgetown, Texas. I serve in several roles for the ACU JMC department. For years, I've had a passion in sports and news, and I'm pursuing a career in sports broadcasting, along with any opportunity that presents itself in the media department.

You are here: Home / Opinion / Reopening America: Antibody studies suggest a far less threatening enemy

Other Opinion:

  • Letter from the editor: Learning to lead

  • Online classes are not as effective as they seem

  • Athletes today face pressure from every angle

Follow us online

  • Facebook
  • Instagram
  • Twitter
  • YouTube

Optimist on Twitter

acuoptimist The Optimist @acuoptimist ·
9 May

BREAKING: The 2026 teacher of the year is Dr. Clint Buck, assistant professor of accounting in the College of Business Administration.

Reply on Twitter 2053158226070257771 Retweet on Twitter 2053158226070257771 Like on Twitter 2053158226070257771 2 Twitter 2053158226070257771
acuoptimist The Optimist @acuoptimist ·
4 May

BREAKING NEWS: James Bradshaw and Maddie Grace Fridge are the 2026 Mr. ACU and Miss ACU.

Reply on Twitter 2051110655172784350 Retweet on Twitter 2051110655172784350 Like on Twitter 2051110655172784350 4 Twitter 2051110655172784350

Optimist on Facebook

The Optimist updated their status.

4 weeks ago

The Optimist

This content isn't available right now

When this happens, it's usually because the owner only shared it with a small group of people, changed who can see it or it's been deleted.
View on Facebook
· Share

Share on Facebook Share on Twitter Share on Linked In Share by Email

The Optimist

1 month ago

The Optimist
Click the link in our bio to nominate a graduating senior for the Optimist to feature in our print issue. ... See MoreSee Less

Video

View on Facebook
· Share

Share on Facebook Share on Twitter Share on Linked In Share by Email

Videos

Optimist Newscast Feb. 28, 2024

Our top stories today include a recap of The Musical Comedy Murders of 1940, the ... [Read More…]

  • Optimist Newscast Feb. 21, 2024
  • Optimist Newscast Feb. 14, 2024
  • Optimist Newscast Jan. 24, 2024

Latest Photos

  • Home
  • About
    • Contact
    • Subscribe
    • Policies
    • Advertising Policy
    • Letters to the Editor and Reader Comments
  • News
  • Sports
  • Opinion
    • Columns
    • Editorials
  • Multimedia
    • Videos
    • Photo Galleries
  • Features
  • Advertise
    • Paid Advertisement
  • Police Log

© 2026 ACU Optimist · All Rights Reserved